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AnalysisInsights

Risk Analysis Insights

Equity curve, drawdown, and per-trade risk - the side of P&L most journals ignore.

Key takeaways

  • The equity curve shows the shape of your closed P&L over time - look for smoothness, not just the endpoint.
  • Max drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in equity over the period.
  • Average risk per trade is computed when you log stop levels.
  • Consistent risk-sizing is one of the strongest correlates with long-term performance.
  • Max drawdown above 3× your average monthly profit suggests sizing is too aggressive for the strategy.

Risk widgets on the Trading Dashboard help you understand drawdown and exposure, not just P&L.

  • Equity curve - running total of closed P&L over time. Look for shape, not just the endpoint: smooth upward curves are more sustainable than spiky ones.
  • Max drawdown - the largest peak-to-trough decline in your equity over the period. Knowing this tells you what a bad streak feels like before you hit one.
  • Average risk per trade - when you log stop levels, MTF can compute risk per trade. Consistent risk-sizing is one of the strongest correlates with long-term performance.

If your max drawdown is more than 3× your average monthly profit, your sizing is probably too aggressive for the strategy.

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